Technical Analysis

Reuters Poll: All 84 economist see Fed raising rates by 50 BPs at next policy meeting

…and by a unanimous decision…

All 84 economists polled by Reuters see the Fed raising by 50 basis points when they announce their decision on December 14

In addition:

  • the probability of a US recession in one year steady at median 60%. Rises to 70% in two years from 63% in November poll
  • next US recession will be short and shallow said 35 or 48 economists

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