Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is a member of the Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve
The Federal Reserve System, more commonly known as the Fed, represents the central banking system of the United States. Like other central banks globally, the Fed is responsible for monetary policy, in this case in the US.The Fed is one of the most watched and followed entities for forex traders, given its material impact on the US dollar. Founded initially in 1913, the Fed was created to perform a wide range of functions. This includes stabilizing and maintaining flexible monetary policy in the US while buttressing a financial system for the country. Its general duties are setting and guiding monetary policy and overseeing effective economic operation, both of which are at the service of the public interest.How the Federal Reserve Affects ForexThe Fed can materially impact the US dollar by virtue of the interest rate it sets, measured by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The current interest rate and the expectations of future interest rate changes can influence the value of the US Dollar. For example, if traders anticipate a change in interest rates based on announcements from the Board of Governors, this can cause the US dollar to appreciate or depreciate in value against other currencies.Forex traders should always be aware of meetings and announcements from the Fed and should keep track of developments within the central bank.Ultimately, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds eight regular meetings per calendar year, where policies and interest rates are discussed and agreed upon. The best course of action is to keep up with news ahead of these meetings as a forex trader to make predictions about interest rates, and whether to buy or sell the US dollar.
The Federal Reserve System, more commonly known as the Fed, represents the central banking system of the United States. Like other central banks globally, the Fed is responsible for monetary policy, in this case in the US.The Fed is one of the most watched and followed entities for forex traders, given its material impact on the US dollar. Founded initially in 1913, the Fed was created to perform a wide range of functions. This includes stabilizing and maintaining flexible monetary policy in the US while buttressing a financial system for the country. Its general duties are setting and guiding monetary policy and overseeing effective economic operation, both of which are at the service of the public interest.How the Federal Reserve Affects ForexThe Fed can materially impact the US dollar by virtue of the interest rate it sets, measured by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The current interest rate and the expectations of future interest rate changes can influence the value of the US Dollar. For example, if traders anticipate a change in interest rates based on announcements from the Board of Governors, this can cause the US dollar to appreciate or depreciate in value against other currencies.Forex traders should always be aware of meetings and announcements from the Fed and should keep track of developments within the central bank.Ultimately, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds eight regular meetings per calendar year, where policies and interest rates are discussed and agreed upon. The best course of action is to keep up with news ahead of these meetings as a forex trader to make predictions about interest rates, and whether to buy or sell the US dollar. Read this Term Board of Governors. The governors vote at each Federal Open Market Committee
Waller is speaking on his economic outlook before the Australasia Conference, in Sydney, Australia
Headlines via Reuters:
Friday’s CPI report is “just one data point,” markets “way
out in front”
Will need to see a
run of CPI reports to take a foot off the brake
Positive that goods
prices came down with some moderation in services, but it needs to
continue
Fed caught
“flatfooted” in 2021 when inflation seemed to moderate then
“exploded”
7.7% CPI inflation
is “enormous,” fed still has a long way to go, rates will
stay high for a while
More:
Beginning to see a little softening in the labor market, but the “shocking part” is that strength remains after rate increases
its critical that the US gets inflation down, “fairly quickly” if possible
so far inflation expectations a couple of years out seem to be holding
US policy rate is not that high given the level of inflation
Federal Reserve can begin to think about moving at a slower pace
More:
If expectations were to become unanchored, you wouldn’t see it happening with a lot of advanced notice in the data. It wouldn’t happen gradually. “You don’t pop a balloon slowly. Once it goes, it goes.”
—
Waller is pouring some cold water on surging risk markets. Dunno why he called it Friday’s CPI report.
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