Technical Analysis

Dollar gains extend, the technical tide is starting to shift again


As risk sentiment nudges lower again while Treasury yields keep higher, the dollar is finding fresh bids on the day in a push to the highs. EUR/USD is now down 0.9% to 0.9760 in a fall below its 100-hour moving average at 0.9791 and is now looking towards its 200-hour moving average at 0.9755 next:

A push below the latter will see sellers resume near-term control and price will look towards the 13 October low at 0.9631 next before turning towards 0.9600 again.

Meanwhile, GBP/USD is also declining further after its earlier fall below the 100-hour moving average. The pair now looks towards 1.1200 with the 200-hour moving average at 1.1180 also in focus:

Much like the EUR/USD, the pair is also seeing the near-term bias now shift to be more neutral. And a push below the 200-hour moving average (blue line) will give sellers room to roam back towards 1.1000 next.

Elsewhere, USD/JPY remains perky in a run to 149.70, up 0.3% on the day, as it continues to flirt with a potential intervention trigger ahead of the 150.00 mark.

Looking over to commodity currencies, they are moving back to the lows for the day as equities retreat ahead of US trading. S&P 500 futures are now down 12 points, or 0.3%, and that is seeing the loonie, aussie, and kiwi nudge lower. USD/CAD is up 0.4% to 1.3790 while AUD/USD is falling by 0.5% to 0.6280 and threatening a fall below its key hourly moving averages at 0.6282-94. For the latter, a break below the near-term support in that region will allow for another run at 0.6200 for sellers.

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